Thursday, August 27, 2015

Buy Kaveri Seeds for long term


About the company
Kaveri seeds, incorporated in 1986, is one of the high growth company in India dealing in the field crops and vegetables space. The company has also received the "Best under a Billion" award from Forbes this year. The company has a strong network of around 15,000 dealer across the country. Their seeds portfolio includes corn, paddy, cotton, sunflower, mustard, sorghum, pulses, bajra, wheat and their vegetable portfolio includes tomato, brinjal, okra, gourd, watermelon, chillies. The company is backed with strong management who are specialized in this agri domain of the business.

Industry
Over half the population of the world lives in rural part and their main occupation is agriculture. Majority of the Indian population relies on agriculture for employment and livelihood. In India, agriculture accounts for 14% of the GDP. In value India is estimated at 12154 Cr. and 6th in rank after USA, China, France, Brazil and Canada. Indian seed industry is undergoing metamorphosis with increased role of private seed companies, entry of MNCs, joint ventures of Indian companies with multinational companies and a wave of consolidations. Cotton, Maize and paddy are expected to be the main growth drivers.

Financial Performance                                   Source: Company
Strengths
·      Significant investment in R&D in the last five years.
·      Developed proprietary germplasm and hybrids.
·      Multi-location breeding and trial stations.

Financials
The company has faced a slowdown due to weak markets in Karnataka and some other southern parts of India. This slow down occurred due to weak rainfall. The company has improved both its operating and net profit margin even in this slowing market.




Valuation
The firm is currently trading at 11x compared to industry average of 10x. Considering weak monsoons in FY16, we expect the firm to generate less volumes of sales but improving margins maybe able to offset this decline a bit. The stock can move to reach Rs 600 by the end of FY16.


Kaveri Seeds vs NIFTY                                                          Source: Reuters

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